Logic Model vs. Theory of Change

While the Logic Model shows the structure and map of a project, the Theory of Change explains why one step leads to the next, the underlying rationale and causal logic connecting them.

The RWVL Theory of Change is constructed using a specific five-part conditional structure: IF, AND, AND, THEN, THEREBY.

THE 5-PART THEORY OF CHANGE STRUCTURE

1. IF

The starting condition or baseline input.

2. AND (1)

A co-condition that MUST be true alongside the IF.

3. AND (2)

A second co-condition that MUST hold simultaneously.

4. THEN

The immediate resulting transformation.

5. THEREBY

The larger, ultimate reason the chain matters.

 

📖 The Everyday Analogy: 

To understand how co-conditions work together, examine this agricultural example from the module:

IF a farmer has good seeds and working tools,
 AND she also has land she is legally allowed to farm.
 AND the seasonal rains arrive on time,
 THEN her harvest will be strong
 THEREBY feeding her family throughout the year.

Key Takeaway: If any single AND is missing, for instance, if she has good seeds and rain but is denied legal access to land, THEN it fails to materialize. Social change requires multiple co-conditions holding true simultaneously.

 

 

The RWVL Project Theory of Change Statement

Applying this exact conditional structure to the national RWVL initiative yields the project’s core claim:

THE RWVL THEORY OF CHANGE STATEMENT

IF

WROs, structurally excluded groups, and WHRDs have sustained financial support and technical ability;

AND

that support and ability are rooted in inclusion and feminist principles;

AND

They are better coordinated and operating in an enabling environment.

THEN

They will implement programs that transform gender relations and influence inclusive policy.

THEREBY

contributing to the achievement of gender equality in Nigeria.
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